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Sceptics of Aristocrat's bullish growth forecasts were vindicated
yesterday when the gaming manufacturer wiped almost $29 million off its full
year profit forecast and left management's credibility in tatters.
After placing its shares in a trading halt on Thursday morning, Aristocrat
yesterday announced to the Australian Stock Exchange that its earnings for the
12 months to December 31 were expected to be $80.2 million $28.8 million less
than the original forecast of $109 million.
Investors dumped Aristocrat shares in response to the announcement, sending
the share price plummeting $1.82, or 43.13 per cent, to $2.40, its lowest level
in almost four years.
Aristocrat, the world's second- biggest poker machine maker, said a reneging
customer in South America was responsible for the massive profit downgrade.
A ``large transaction" involving the sale of electronic gaming machines had
gone wrong after the customer failed to fulfil a number of contractual
obligations, it said in a statement to the ASX.
Speculation circulated the market that a bank acting on behalf of the
customer might have been at fault, forcing Aristocrat to withdraw from the deal.
In an effort to reduce the fallout from the downgrade, Aristocrat said the
full year results would show the ``extreme resilience" of the Australian market
and ``strong growth" in the US and Japan.
Analysts were fuming at the timing of the announcement, less than two weeks
before the company is due to report its full year earnings, and lack of detail.
Analysts questioned how a one-off contract with a customer in South America,
a market which contributes less than 10 per cent to Aristocrat's earnings,
could wipe almost $30 million off the bottom line.
The profit downgrade has raised serious concerns over the company's
operations in the US, which Aristocrat has relied on to drive revenue growth.
In 2001 Aristocrat paid $US180 million for Las Vegas gaming systems
developer Casino Data Systems as part of its plan to snare a 20 per cent slice
of the Americas market by 2005.
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